China Launches Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Over Pacific Amid Rising Global Tensions

China has conducted a significant intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test, launching the missile over the northern Philippines and into the “high seas” of the Pacific Ocean. This marks the first such test since the early 1980s, raising international concerns about the country’s expanding nuclear capabilities.

Test Amid Global Scrutiny

The missile, carrying a dummy warhead, was launched by the People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) at 8:44 AM Beijing time on Wednesday. According to China’s defense ministry, the test was part of routine training and did not target any specific country. However, the timing of the test has prompted reactions from several nations, with growing attention on China’s nuclear arsenal. The test was confirmed by navigational warnings (Notams) issued earlier this week to notify surrounding countries.

International Reactions and Concerns

The Philippines confirmed that the missile flew over its northern territory, though officials did not specify if they were aware it was an ICBM launch. Japan, which was not informed before the launch, expressed grave concern. Yoshimasa Hayashi, Japan’s senior government spokesperson, emphasized the troubling nature of China’s rapid military buildup. Taiwan’s defense ministry acknowledged heightened Chinese missile activity but provided few details.

Meanwhile, New Zealand expressed dissatisfaction with the South Pacific missile test. Foreign Minister Winston Peters labeled the launch an “unwelcome and concerning development,” highlighting the Pacific region’s desire for peace and security.

Speculation on Missile Type and Purpose

Analysts believe the missile could have been fired from China’s Hainan province and potentially landed near French Polynesia. This aligns with the navigational warnings issued for the area. The missile is speculated to be either the Dong Feng-41, which has a range of 12,000-15,000 km, or its predecessor, the Dong Feng-31, capable of traveling 7,200-8,000 km.

Drew Thompson, a senior fellow at Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, noted that China typically tests short- to mid-range missiles. The unusual launch of an ICBM seems designed to demonstrate China’s ability to project power globally. He stated, “It’s coming at a time of heightened tension with Japan, the Philippines, Taiwan, and the US, and during the UN General Assembly week.”

China’s Expanding Nuclear Arsenal

This missile test is a crucial indicator of China’s ongoing effort to modernize its nuclear forces. The PLARF, responsible for conventional and nuclear missiles, has been embroiled in internal challenges, including recent corruption scandals. Despite these issues, China remains committed to enhancing its nuclear deterrent.

The Pentagon has predicted that China’s stockpile of nuclear warheads could double to 1,000 by the end of the decade. With around 350 ICBMs already in its possession, China is constructing hundreds of silos to store land-based missiles. While China maintains a “no first use” policy on nuclear weapons, this latest test sends a clear message regarding its global military capabilities.

As tensions continue to rise in the Indo-Pacific region, China’s missile test underscores its growing influence and the potential for further geopolitical instability.