Trump’s Election Strategy Raises Concerns of Post-Election Chaos

As Election Day approaches, former President Donald J. Trump is launching a last-minute campaign strategy that echoes his 2020 approach. This time, Trump is backed by groups promoting the unproven idea of a “stolen election.” With just days remaining, Trump has intensified his rhetoric, accusing Democrats of being “a bunch of cheats,” while his supporters circulate claims of alleged voting issues in battleground states, reinforcing a narrative of widespread fraud.

Setting Expectations for Victory

Trump allies, including tech mogul Elon Musk, are amplifying selective polls and betting data to project a decisive Trump victory. By doing so, they prepare his base for a scenario where any loss could be met with disbelief. Some of Trump’s advisers have suggested he may declare victory before all votes are counted—a tactic he used in 2020 that led to efforts to contest the election and contributed to the January 6 Capitol events.

Polls indicate a close race, meaning Trump could win without dispute. If this occurs, Vice President Kamala Harris has expressed her commitment to upholding “free and fair elections” and ensuring the “peaceful transfer of power.”

New Protections Against Election Disputes

Since 2020, several changes aim to prevent another post-election crisis. Congress passed the Electoral Count Reform Act, which adds protections to the certification process on January 6. Unlike in 2020, Trump no longer has federal government power, and fewer Republicans hold state positions that could influence the process. Additionally, prominent networks that previously promoted misinformation, such as Fox News, now face legal consequences, including a $787 million settlement with Dominion Voting Systems over baseless vote-switching claims.

Growing Influence of Election Skeptics

Despite new safeguards, concerns remain. Supporters of Trump’s fraud claims have gained roles within the election system, from poll watchers to officials certifying local results. Loopholes in the Electoral Count Reform Act allow local officials to delay or block certification if deadlines are not followed, which could potentially stall the process.

While major news organizations face scrutiny for spreading misinformation, social media platforms have reduced efforts to counter false narratives. X, formerly Twitter and now owned by Musk, has notably relaxed its misinformation policies. Musk has frequently promoted unverified claims, signaling that a Trump victory is inevitable.

Preparing for a Disputed Outcome

With Trump’s network reinforcing his projected victory, the nation may face another contentious election period despite efforts by civil rights groups and election officials to secure the democratic process. The ongoing fraud claims and increasing distrust suggest that another tumultuous aftermath could be on the horizon.